Oregon State Beavers Football 2025: Predictions You Can Yell About

Twelve games. Three hosts. Zero chill.

We go through Oregon State’s 2025 football schedule game by game, laying down score predictions, key moments, and the matchups that will decide everything. The Beavs may not be the loudest name in the preseason polls, but this Fall they’re primed to shock anyone still sleeping on Corvallis. Different paths, same destination. And spoiler: it’s a season worth yelling about.


Week 1 — vs Cal

Sat, Aug 30 | ESPN | Reser Stadium

Why it matters

Cal named true freshman Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele as QB1 this month, a bold move for a hostile road debut in Corvallis. Oddsmakers opened with OSU -1.5 and a 50.5 total with the spread moving to OSU -3 as of today. Look for a tight, defense-tilting game where a couple of explosive plays could swing it. Previews out of Berkeley expect growing pains up front and a retool on offense, which amplifies the “make the bottom of the ACC QB beat you” plan in Week 1.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 31–13 — Freshman debut in Reser is a different animal. Defense squeezes early; Murphy settles late. (1–0)

  • Benny: OSU 38–28 — “Most important game on the schedule.” Tempo + explosives push it over the number. (1–0)

  • Terry: OSU 21–16 — Defense steals the show; Hank closes it out. (1–0)


Week 2 — vs Fresno State

Sat, Sep 6 | CW | Reser Stadium

Why it matters

Fresno State turned the page: Matt Entz (yep, the North Dakota State machine-builder) is in, identity shifts toward defense and line play. The Bulldogs named EJ Warner the starter in camp. Warner’s experience helps, but Frenso State also lost multiple top receivers to graduation/portal, so the pass game must be rebuilt on the fly. That’s tailor-made for OSU to lean on a physical script.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 28–17 — Balanced plan, methodical drives, keep Warner off-script. (2–0)

  • Benny: OSU 17–7 — Defense dictates; would love a couple takeaways. (2–0)

  • Terry: OSU 31–14 — Tight ends get involved; Reser energy matters. (2–0)


Week 3 — at Texas Tech

Sat, Sep 13 | FOX | Lubbock

Why it matters

The Red Raiders opened AP preseason No. 23 and returns a nasty front that national previews peg as one of the Big 12’s best units. They return star QB Behren Morton and headline a reloaded defensive front with transfers like Lee Hunter showing out in camp. Hostile venue, top-25 roster, and a front that punishes one-dimensional offenses.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 24–27 (L) — Close all day; late field goal stings. (2–1)

  • Benny: OSU 14–31 (L) — Turnover risk vs. an amped DL is real on the road. (2–1)

  • Terry: OSU 28–35 (L) — Play from behind, rally falls short in Lubbock. (2–1)


Week 4 — at Oregon

Sat, Sep 20 | TBA | Autzen

Why it matters

The Ducks enter ranked in the AP preseason top-10. Dante Moore has the keys in Year 2 which has been the storyline of their camp. Rivalry. Road. Noise. Everything you want in a measuring-stick game.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 24–21 — “Signature win.” Defense steals a possession; Murphy makes the throw. (3–1)

  • Benny: OSU 21–24 (L) — Closer than they want; still a knife fight. (2–2)

  • Terry: OSU 10–41 (L) — The reverse-jinx special, don’t overthink it. (2–2)


Week 5 — vs Houston

Fri, Sep 26 | ESPN | Reser Stadium

Why it matters

Transfer QB Conner Weigman headlines the Cougars and rolled into August as a preseason watch-list quarterback for national awards. Houston’s upgrades added SEC size across the roster, boosting their offensive ceiling overnight. Fritz-ball in Year 2 is getting buy-in and balance, which means OSU must win a discipline game: limit explosives, steal possessions, but Corvallis is a problem when the students are back.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 30–20 — Rattle the new pieces; win situational downs. (4–1)

  • Benny: OSU 31–7 — Calls a defensive TD. Secondary eats. (3–2)

  • Terry: OSU 20–13 — Old-school grind; Beavs by a score. (3–2)


Week 6 — at Appalachian State

Sat, Oct 4 | TBA | Boone

Why it matters

Dowell Loggains takes over in Boone with an NFL-flavored approach—App State made the hire official this winter. Beautiful venue, sneaky tough trip, and a fanbase that lives for upsets. Handle the crowd, handle the weather, handle the script.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 34–16 — “19 straight runs” type vibe when the OL leans on you. (5–1)

  • Benny: OSU 31–28 — Hank time; 150-ish on the ground does it. (4–2)

  • Terry: OSU 31–21 — Control tempo, minimize chaos, fly home happy. (4–2)


Week 7 — vs Wake Forest

Sat, Oct 11 | CW | Reser Stadium

Why it matters

Wake hit the reset button too — new head coach Jake Dickert (yes, that Jake Dickert) took over in December and is building a new staff and identity for 2025. New identity + cross-country trip + Reser in October is a tough cocktail.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 24–20 — Don’t get cute; take the win and move on. (6–1)

  • Benny: OSU 34–14 — Travel tax + learning curve = comfortable margin. (5–2)

  • Terry: OSU 37–13 — Purdue-ish script from last year: early chokehold. (5–2)


Week 8 — vs Lafayette

Sat, Oct 18 | CW | Reser Stadium

Why it matters

The Leopards are well-coached and respected in the Patriot League, but are picked in to finish in the bottom-half of the conference in the 2025 preseason poll. Handle business, empty the bench, no injuries.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 42–7 — One garbage-time score for the Leopards, that’s it. (7–1)

  • Benny: OSU 42–14 — “Full WeHage” unlocked. (6–2)

  • Terry: OSU 42–14 — Copy/paste the script, on to November. (6–2)


Week 9 — vs Washington State

Sat, Nov 1 | CBS | Reser Stadium

Why it matters

Post-Dickert, the Cougs hired Jimmy Rogers off South Dakota State to steer the rebuild. New voice, new system, same chip—but Reser in November is a different temperature. OSU’s bye/load-management cadence in November will be kind to the Beavs.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 41–14 — “Beautiful November 1st” turns into a blowout. (8–1)

  • Benny: OSU 21–7 — Not as close as it looks; defense strangled the pace. (7–2)

  • Terry: OSU 33–16 — Steady pressure, special teams edge. (7–2)


Week 10 — vs Sam Houston

Sat, Nov 8 | CW | Reser Stadium

Why it matters

Sam Houston welcomed Phil Longo back to run the show, but there’s plenty holes to patch. When the Beavs control LOS, the game script gets real simple. Air-raid DNA meets November weather in Corvallis—good luck.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 31–17 — Explosives allowed? Maybe one. Otherwise buttoned-up. (9–1)

  • Benny: OSU 28–7 — Calls for a wet, low-mistake afternoon. (8–2)

  • Terry: OSU 45–18 — Don’t ask how they get to 18; they just do. (8–2)


Week 11 — at Tulsa

Sat, Nov 15 | TBA | Chapman Stadium

Why it matters

Tulsa went bold, hiring Tre Lamb and flipping a huge chunk of the roster — the identity is changing, but 2025 is Year 1 of a multi-year rebuild, that can pop… or sputter. November weather + travel can get weird; OSU’s advantage is consistency on offense and depth up front, and at this point in the season, depth usually decides it.

Predictions

  • JP: OSU 28–10 — Veteran, road-ready efficiency > first-year churn. (10–1)

  • Benny: OSU 28–24 — Classic trap profile; Hank closes. (9–2)

  • Terry: OSU 33–10 — Defense travels; so does run game. (9–2)


Week 12 — at Washington State

Sat, Nov 29 | CW | Pullman

Why it matters

Back to the Palouse a week after Wazzu visits James Madison (travel legs count in late November), while OSU has a clean ramp into the finale. It’s the second chess match vs. Rogers in one month. Culture vs. continuity, Round 2 — adjustments decide it.

Predictions

  • JP: Cougs 23–30 (L) — The poetic split: both programs hoist the final version of the “Pac-2” banner. (10–2)

  • Benny: OSU 31–24 — Wouldn’t be shocked if it’s wider, but let’s call it a one-score win. (10–2)

  • Terry: OSU 20–17 — Low-scoring grinder in the Palouse chill. (10–2)


Final Whistle (and a Reese’s Wrapper or Two)

  • JP: 10–2

  • Benny: 10–2

  • Terry: 10–2

We argued, we reverse-jinxed, we threatened to light Benny’s ear on fire (again), and somehow we all still landed at 10–2. Three different paths, same destination. Which, if you’ve listened to us long enough, is the most predictable of all outcomes.

Now it’s your turn, Beaver Fam. Drop your own week-by-week in the comments, tell us where we’re cowards, and circle the road trip you’re making (Boone? Tulsa? Palouse snow-globe?).

Subscribe to the pod (Ep 185, if you missed the chaos), share this with that that Duck coworker who “roots for the Beavs when they’re not playing the Ducks” and we’ll see you under the lights at Reser.

Hammering Hank, Maalik Magic, a defense with bite… LFG.

Go Beavs!

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